Flood Vulnerability Curves and Household Flood Damage Mitigation
Measures: an Econometric Analysis of Survey Data
Abstract
Natural disasters, such as flood events, are expected to increase in
their frequency and severity. Without additional adaptation measures,
this results in higher flood risk. The information gained from flood
risk models is essential in flood risk management. However,
vulnerability model components in the form of depth-damage curves are
often a large driver of uncertainty and vulnerability curves are rarely
estimated due to a lack of empirical damage data from flood events. This
study uses a unique dataset with experienced damages and the
implementation of flood damage mitigation (FDM) measures on the
household level, collected after the flood event in the Netherlands in
2021. Depth-damage curves that control for several hazard, exposure and
vulnerability indicators are estimated and allow for an additional input
in flood risk models. Previous estimates of the effectiveness of FDM
measures are prone to a selection bias, as households that do, and do
not, implement FDM measures systematically differ in their risk
profiles. By using an Instrumental Variable (IV)-estimation, this study
overcomes this selection bias and finds significant reductions in flood
damage due to FDM measures.