Mesoscale and Large-Eddy Simulation of the Boundary Layer Process of
Cumulus Development over Naqu, Tibetan Plateau Part A: Comparison
Between Simulation and Observation
Abstract
Cumulus clouds are of great interest in numerical weather prediction.
However, the scarcity of observed data on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) has
not allowed correct interpretation of their development. The Third TP
Atmospheric Science Experiment provided experimental data to address
this challenge. This study used a combined weather research and
forecasting large-eddy simulation (WRF-LES) model and final reanalysis
data from the Global Forecast System to simulate cumulus clouds over
southern TP on July 19, 2014. We applied observation nudging and one-way
nesting strategies to influence the optimality of WRF-LES runs. The
study performed simulations with six different scenarios in comparison
with observation data. Results showed that cumulus clouds locally
initiated and grew upscale but were however influenced by large-scale
forcing. Compared to the observations, simulations with observation
nudging provided more accurate and reliable results than the simulations
without nudging. LES with mesoscale forcing yielded a relatively good
atmospheric boundary-layer (ABL) water vapor profile and a similar
microphysical evolution to the observations but misled the observed
surface variables. Without mesoscale forcing, LES provided the best ABL
water vapor and sensible heat flux, however, failed to provide a good
microphysics field. In this aspect large-scale forcing played an
important role in cumulus development on July 19, 2014. The study
recommended observation nudging and one-way nesting strategies in
separate iterations to be improved by focusing on the model’s response
to the terrain and boundary conditions.