Seismic Velocity Changes below the Great Sitkin Volcano in Central
Aleutian Islands Associated with Recent Eruptive Activities
Abstract
Volcanic eruptions could be disastrous. Understanding how magma
accumulates, migrates, and erupts to the surface has both scientific and
societal implications. However, the variation of the scale of volcanoes,
the co-occurrence of earthquakes, and the duration of eruptions make it
difficult to understand and, eventually, to predict volcanic eruptions,
particularly for those without surface deformation. With a method based
on ambient noise interferometry, this study characterizes the subsurface
response, in terms of the variation of seismic velocities, to different
stages of the eruption process at the Great Sitkin Volcano in Central
Aleutian Islands. This volcano erupted in May and July of 2021, with
elevated seismicity, gas release, and the formation of a new lava dome.
It had an increase in seismicity in February 2020 but without any
eruption. We measured the variation of seismic velocities from August
2019 to March 2022. We observe a velocity decrease up to one month
before the eruption, followed by velocity increases after the eruption.
The seismic velocities would restore to the normal level within about
one month after the eruption started. We don’t observe a velocity
increase before the increase in seismicity rate in February 2020. The
observations from seismicity, dv/v, and shear-wave velocity model
suggest a four-stage eruption cycle. Despite its remote location and
relatively small scale, the findings of this study at the Great Sitkin
volcano have significant implications for understanding vocalism and the
development and prediction of volcanic eruptions in general.