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A Dynamical Linkage Between Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones and Indian Monsoon Low-Pressure Systems
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  • K. S. S. Sai Srujan,
  • Sukumaran Sandeep,
  • Ettammal suhas,
  • Hariprasad Kodamana
K. S. S. Sai Srujan
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
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Sukumaran Sandeep
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Ettammal suhas
Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Pune
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Hariprasad Kodamana
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
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Abstract

The relatively weak tropical storms, known as low-pressure systems (LPSs), contribute as much as 60% of the seasonal precipitation over the hugely populated central India. More than a third of LPS are formed by the downstream amplification of the westward propagating disturbances from the Pacific. Here, we show that the downstream LPS genesis are associated with the tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Western North Pacific (WNP). Four major clusters of landfalling TCs that have a relatively lesser degree of recurvature account for about 83% of the downstream LPS genesis. Causality in the fluctuations of the sea level pressure over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) prior to the initiation of LPS is attributed to the Rossby wave activity over WNP through transfer entropy analysis. Our results suggest a potential for the prediction of the downstream synoptic activity over the BoB at least seven days ahead.