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Modelling the historic and projected near-surface temperature trends across Canada
  • Matthew Ball
Matthew Ball
Durham University

Corresponding Author:matthewwball@btinternet.com

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This article explores the impact that SSP 1-2.6 and 5-8.5 have on near surface temperature across Canada. This is achieved through the use of model ensembles, made up of CMIP5 data, to establish both the historic record of near surface temperature across Canada, as well as how this is predicted to change in the future given the two SSP emission scenarios. The conclusions drawn from this modelling and analysis is valuable in the context of sustainable development and both climate mitigation and climate adaptation discussions. Specifically, an understanding of the spatial extent of warming trends, across Canada, will allow for a more specific and tailored approach to be taken towards adaptation and can ensure appropriate measures are taken in good time.