A DRP-4DVar-based Data Assimilation System for Global NWPs: System
Description and Observing System Simulation Experiment
Wenyu Huang

Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Author ProfileAbstract
A four-dimensional ensemble-variational hybrid data assimilation (DA)
system based on the dimension-reduced projection (DRP) technique was
developed for global numerical weather predictions (NWPs). Instead of
the adjoint technique, an ensemble approach is utilized in this
technique to calculate the gradient of the cost function of the standard
four-dimensional variational (4DVar) DA. The flow-dependence of the
background error covariance (BEC) is realized in the variational
configuration by dynamically updating the initial perturbation samples
during the assimilation cycle. A limited number of leading eigenvectors
of the correlation function of localization are selected to filter out
the spurious correlations in the BEC matrix (B-matrix). A linear
combination of the ensemble analysis increment sample with the random
perturbation sample satisfying balance constraints is used as the
inflation technique to prevent the BEC from underestimation and to
achieve the hybrid of the flow-dependent and static B-matrices when
updating the initial perturbations. In order to evaluate the new system,
single-point observation experiments (SOEs) and observing system
simulation experiments (OSSEs) were conducted with sounding and
cloud-derived wind data. The flow-dependent characteristic was verified
by the SOEs that utilized localized ensemble covariance. In the OSSEs,
DRP-4DVar produced better analysis than 4DVar. Moreover, the ensemble
mean forecast with DRP-4DVar analyses as the initial conditions reduced
errors in geopotential height, 24-h accumulated precipitation and other
variables relative to the 4DVar-based forecast. Significant improvements
of analysis and forecast achieved in the data-sparse Southern Hemisphere
by DRP-4DVar indicate a remarkable advantage of the ensemble covariance
in sufficient use of sparse observations.