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How Well Do We Understand the Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Carbon Cycle?
  • +5
  • David Crisp,
  • Han Dolman,
  • Toste Tanhua,
  • Judith Hauck,
  • Simon Eggleston,
  • Valentin Aich,
  • Ana Bastos,
  • Stephen Sitch
David Crisp
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Han Dolman
Royal NIOZ, Texel, Netherlands and Department of Earth Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, Royal NIOZ, Texel, Netherlands and Department of Earth Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, Vrije Universiteit
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Toste Tanhua
GEOMAR Helmholz Centre for Ocean Research, GEOMAR Helmholz Centre for Ocean Research, GEOMAR Helmholz Centre for Ocean Research
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Judith Hauck
Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
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Simon Eggleston
World Meteorological Organization, World Meteorological Organization, World Meteorological Organization
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Valentin Aich
Global Climate Observing System, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, Global Climate Observing System, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, World Meteorological Organization
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Ana Bastos
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry Department Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry Department Biogeochemical Integration
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Stephen Sitch
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences
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Abstract

Fossil fuel combustion, land use change and other human activities have increased the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) abundance by almost 50% since the beginning of the industrial age. These changes would have been much larger if natural sinks in the land biosphere and ocean had not removed over half of this anthropogenic CO2. Here, we review the current state of knowledge of the ocean, land and atmospheric carbon cycles, identify emerging measurement and modeling capabilities, and gaps that must be addressed to diagnose the processes driving the carbon cycle and predict their response to human activities and a changing climate. The anthropogenic CO2 uptake by the ocean has increased over this period, as the atmospheric CO2 partial pressure (pCO2) has increased. For the land carbon cycle, the emerging picture is more complicated. Over the past three decades, the uptake of CO2 by intact tropical humid forests appears to be declining, but these effects are offset by a net greening across mid- and high-latitudes associated with afforestation, agricultural, and longer growing seasons. These studies have also revealed measurement gaps and other limitations in our understanding of the evolving carbon cycle. They show that continued ship-based observations combined with expanded deployments of autonomous platforms are needed to quantify ocean-atmosphere fluxes on policy relevant spatial and temporal scales. They also reinforce the urgent need for more comprehensive measurements of stocks, fluxes and atmospheric CO2 in humid tropical forests and across the Arctic and boreal regions, which appear to be experiencing rapid change.
Jun 2022Published in Reviews of Geophysics volume 60 issue 2. 10.1029/2021RG000736