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Calculating an error correlation length scale from MFLL-OCO-2 column-average CO2 differences and using it to average OCO-2 data
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  • David F Baker,
  • Emily Bell,
  • Kenneth J Davis,
  • Joel F Campbell,
  • Bing Lin,
  • Jeremy Dobler
David F Baker
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere / Colorado State University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Emily Bell
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere / Colorado State University
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Kenneth J Davis
Earth and Environmental Systems Institute
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Joel F Campbell
NASA Langley Research Center
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Bing Lin
NASA Langley Research Center
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Jeremy Dobler
Spectral Sensor Solutions LLC
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Abstract

To check the accuracy of column-average dry air CO2 mole fractions (“XCO2”) retrieved from Orbiting Carbon Overvatory (OCO-2) data, a similar quantity has been measured from the Multi-functional Fiber Laser Lidar (MFLL) aboard aircraft flying underneath OCO-2 as part of the Atmospheric Carbon and Transport (ACT)-America flight campaigns. Here we do a lagged correlation analysis of these MFLL-OCO-2 column CO2 differences and find that their correlation spectrum falls off rapidly at along-track separation distances of under 10 km, with a correlation length scale of about 10 km, and less rapidly at longer separation distances, with a correlation length scale of about 20 km. The OCO-2 satellite takes many CO2 measurements with small (∼3 km^2) fields of view (FOVs) in a thin (~10 km wide) swath running parallel to its orbit: up to 24 separate FOVs may be obtained per second (across a ∼6.75 km distance on the ground), though clouds, aerosols, and other factors cause considerable data dropout. Errors in the CO2 retrieval method have long been thought to be correlated at these fine scales, and methods to account for these when assimilating these data into 10 top-down atmospheric CO2 flux inversions have been developed. A common approach has been to average the data at coarser scales (e.g., in 10-second-long bins) along-track, then assign an uncertainty to the averaged value that accounts for the error correlations. Here we outline the methods used up to now for computing these 10-second averages and their uncertainties, including the constant-correlation-with-distance error model currently being used to summarize the OCO-2 version 9 XCO2 retrievals as part of the OCO-2 flux inversion model intercomparison project. We then derive a new one-dimensional error model using correlations that decay exponentially with separation distance, apply this model to the OCO-2 data using the correlation length scales derived from the MFLL-OCO-2 differences, and compare the results (for both the average and its uncertainty) to those given by the current constant-correlation error model. To implement this new model, the data are averaged first across 2-second spans, to collapse the cross-track distribution of the real data onto the 1-D path assumed by the new model. A small percentage of the data that cause non-physical negative averaging weights in the model are thrown out. The correlation lengths over the ocean, which the land-based MFLL data do not clarify, are assumed to be twice those over the land. The new correlation model gives 10-second XCO2 averages that are only a few tenths of a ppm different from the constant-correlation model. […] Finally, we show how our 1-D exponential error correlation model may be used to account for correlations in those inversion methods that choose to assimilate each XCO2 retrieval individually, and to account for correlations between separate 10-second averages when these are assimilated instead.